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We provide two-week to six-month forecasts of investor sentiment related to major stock markets. Our forecasts indicate naturally occurring shifts in sentiment that create tailwinds and headwinds for the markets. Some refer to these naturally occurring shifts as changes in animal spirits. Shifts occur periodically and are described as changes between:
- Investor optimism and pessimism
- Risk-on and risk-off
- Euphoria and panic
- Market resilience and vulnerability
A shift between naturally occurring optimism and pessimism acts as an exogenous catalyst for a dramatic price change when there is an economic need for a price change.
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